Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 9
AalborgHOME · -
62 : 932014.11.20 · 종료
VaerloseAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.8%
VALUE EDGE+66.8%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
AalborgAnalysis MetricsVaerlose
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-16.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.67
163.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aalborg
L · 114-87L · 73-93L · 96-80L · 97-122L · 75-90
Vaerlose
L · 73-84L · 100-70L · 66-74L · 78-73W · 76-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.02 | Vaerlose | 89 : 74 | Aalborg |
| 2015.03.29 | Aalborg | 83 : 87 | Vaerlose |
| 2015.03.22 | Vaerlose | 83 : 66 | Aalborg |
| 2015.03.17 | Aalborg | 69 : 81 | Vaerlose |
| 2014.11.20 | Aalborg | 62 : 93 | Vaerlose |