Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 8
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
86 : 1032014.11.14 · 종료
RandersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.7%
VALUE EDGE+56.7%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsRanders
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+23.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.33
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
W · 73-93L · 82-88W · 79-84L · 79-88W · 82-88
Randers
W · 104-85W · 66-74L · 82-77L · 93-87W · 96-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.13 | Randers | 98 : 84 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.04.02 | Randers | 122 : 94 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.03.17 | Team FOG Naestved | 105 : 104 | Randers |
| 2026.02.08 | Randers | 98 : 116 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.10.10 | Team FOG Naestved | 101 : 90 | Randers |
| 2015.03.10 | Randers | 67 : 76 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2015.01.16 | Randers | 71 : 97 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.11.14 | Team FOG Naestved | 86 : 103 | Randers |