Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Basketligaen Denmark · 7

AalborgHOME · -

73 : 932014.11.07 · 종료

Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY82.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +82.7%

VALUE EDGE+82.7%

FAIR ODDS1.21

GRADEA

AalborgAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-16.17 Point MarginHigher is better +23.67

163.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.33

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

17.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

82.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aalborg

L · 96-80L · 97-122L · 75-90L · 96-65L · 69-95

Team FOG Naestved

L · 82-88W · 79-84L · 79-88W · 82-88W · 68-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.03.06	Team FOG Naestved	83 : 63	Aalborg
2015.01.03	Aalborg	61 : 84	Team FOG Naestved
2014.11.07	Aalborg	73 : 93	Team FOG Naestved