Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 6
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
82 : 882014.11.04 · 종료
SvendborgAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.5%
VALUE EDGE+59.5%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsSvendborg
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+23.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.92
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.58
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
W · 79-84L · 79-88W · 82-88W · 68-65
Svendborg
W · 78-73W · 75-90W · 83-79L · 75-73W · 87-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.16 | Team FOG Naestved | 86 : 83 | Svendborg |
| 2026.05.08 | Svendborg | 80 : 95 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.05.05 | Team FOG Naestved | 111 : 87 | Svendborg |
| 2026.05.01 | Svendborg | 63 : 75 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.04.28 | Team FOG Naestved | 88 : 101 | Svendborg |
| 2026.03.31 | Team FOG Naestved | 92 : 90 | Svendborg |
| 2026.03.13 | Svendborg | 83 : 86 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.12.28 | Svendborg | 97 : 96 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.11.13 | Team FOG Naestved | 106 : 78 | Svendborg |
| 2019.01.20 | Team FOG Naestved | 78 : 85 | Svendborg |