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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Basketligaen Denmark · 6
VaerloseHOME · -
66 : 742014.11.04 · 종료
RandersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
VaerloseAnalysis MetricsRanders
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-12.67 Point MarginHigher is better +12.33
169.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.17
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vaerlose
L · 78-73W · 76-69L · 73-66L · 63-91L · 68-65
Randers
L · 82-77L · 93-87W · 96-65W · 85-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.27Vaerlose85 : 89Randers
2026.01.30Randers106 : 80Vaerlose
2026.01.18Vaerlose73 : 103Randers
2021.01.13Randers93 : 79Vaerlose
2015.11.28Vaerlose78 : 87Randers
2015.02.22Vaerlose66 : 84Randers
2015.01.13Randers76 : 91Vaerlose
2014.11.04Vaerlose66 : 74Randers