Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 1
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
68 : 652014.10.09 · 종료
VaerloseAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.0%
VALUE EDGE+50.0%
FAIR ODDS2.00
GRADEA
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsVaerlose
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+23.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.67
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation0.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
Collecting Data
Vaerlose
Collecting Data
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.05 | Vaerlose | 62 : 95 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.12.17 | Vaerlose | 67 : 99 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.10.16 | Team FOG Naestved | 115 : 57 | Vaerlose |
| 2019.01.13 | Team FOG Naestved | 112 : 70 | Vaerlose |
| 2015.01.30 | Vaerlose | 74 : 71 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.11.28 | Vaerlose | 69 : 73 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.10.09 | Team FOG Naestved | 68 : 65 | Vaerlose |