Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division A
Cyprus · Division A - Quarter-finals
ApollonHOME · -
92 : 682023.04.08 · 종료
AELAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.6%
VALUE EDGE+73.6%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
ApollonAnalysis MetricsAEL
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-13.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.75
158.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Apollon
L · 75-72W · 96-77L · 71-75W · 80-84W · 85-76
AEL
W · 75-72L · 96-77L · 78-92L · 76-91W · 95-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Apollon | 77 : 89 | AEL |
| 2026.03.07 | Apollon | 85 : 76 | AEL |
| 2025.10.04 | AEL | 80 : 62 | Apollon |
| 2025.04.24 | Apollon | 66 : 96 | AEL |
| 2025.02.12 | Apollon | 81 : 91 | AEL |
| 2024.10.12 | AEL | 105 : 79 | Apollon |
| 2023.04.08 | Apollon | 92 : 68 | AEL |
| 2023.04.04 | AEL | 75 : 72 | Apollon |
| 2023.04.01 | Apollon | 96 : 77 | AEL |
| 2023.01.28 | Apollon | 99 : 71 | AEL |