Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division A
Cyprus · 21

AELHOME · -
76 : 912023.03.06 · 종료
AEK LarnacaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.4%
VALUE EDGE+51.4%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
AELAnalysis MetricsAEK Larnaca
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.25
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
AEL
W · 95-70L · 88-68L · 82-90L · 99-71W · 70-91
AEK Larnaca
W · 52-94W · 77-45W · 73-77W · 73-58L · 93-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.08 | AEK Larnaca | 78 : 71 | AEL |
| 2025.12.20 | AEL | 62 : 87 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2025.10.11 | AEK Larnaca | 88 : 72 | AEL |
| 2025.03.13 | AEL | 76 : 57 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2025.01.19 | AEL | 66 : 80 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2024.12.01 | AEK Larnaca | 89 : 70 | AEL |
| 2023.03.06 | AEL | 76 : 91 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2022.12.22 | AEK Larnaca | 118 : 103 | AEL |