Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division A
Cyprus · 15
AEK LarnacaHOME · -
73 : 582023.01.21 · 종료
ApollonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
AEK LarnacaAnalysis MetricsApollon
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.17
161.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.17
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
AEK Larnaca
L · 93-78W · 83-54W · 70-81W · 118-103W · 82-59
Apollon
W · 74-81W · 83-70L · 84-63W · 82-67L · 79-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | Apollon | 56 : 90 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2026.03.21 | AEK Larnaca | 91 : 77 | Apollon |
| 2026.02.14 | AEK Larnaca | 85 : 74 | Apollon |
| 2025.12.09 | Apollon | 80 : 96 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2025.04.01 | Apollon | 76 : 85 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2025.01.26 | AEK Larnaca | 115 : 61 | Apollon |
| 2024.12.10 | Apollon | 80 : 92 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2023.01.21 | AEK Larnaca | 73 : 58 | Apollon |
| 2022.11.03 | Apollon | 71 : 67 | AEK Larnaca |