Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division A
Cyprus · 5
ApollonHOME · -
71 : 672022.11.03 · 종료
AEK LarnacaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.2%
VALUE EDGE+70.2%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADES
ApollonAnalysis MetricsAEK Larnaca
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-13.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
158.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.25
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Apollon
W · 67-71L · 79-85W · 57-87L · 59-95
AEK Larnaca
W · 65-47W · 63-89W · 76-52W · 64-88L · 60-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | Apollon | 56 : 90 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2026.03.21 | AEK Larnaca | 91 : 77 | Apollon |
| 2026.02.14 | AEK Larnaca | 85 : 74 | Apollon |
| 2025.12.09 | Apollon | 80 : 96 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2025.04.01 | Apollon | 76 : 85 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2025.01.26 | AEK Larnaca | 115 : 61 | Apollon |
| 2024.12.10 | Apollon | 80 : 92 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2023.01.21 | AEK Larnaca | 73 : 58 | Apollon |
| 2022.11.03 | Apollon | 71 : 67 | AEK Larnaca |