Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · Prva Liga - Final
KastelaHOME · -
74 : 912023.05.18 · 종료
DubrovnikAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsDubrovnik
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
L · 86-67W · 58-61L · 69-61W · 91-68L · 87-82
Dubrovnik
W · 86-67W · 86-66L · 60-51W · 69-61L · 67-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.18 | Kastela | 74 : 91 | Dubrovnik |
| 2023.05.14 | Dubrovnik | 86 : 67 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.30 | Dubrovnik | 69 : 61 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.02 | Kastela | 71 : 57 | Dubrovnik |
| 2023.02.12 | Dubrovnik | 83 : 65 | Kastela |
| 2022.11.14 | Kastela | 65 : 99 | Dubrovnik |