Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia

HermesHOME · -

121 : 782023.05.14 · 종료

StojaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.4%

VALUE EDGE+59.4%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

HermesAnalysis MetricsStoja

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -9.58

157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.75

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

2.6일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation8.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hermes

W · 74-92W · 49-95W · 98-91W · 89-92W · 128-92

Stoja

W · 105-98L · 91-79W · 95-75W · 98-72W · 79-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Stoja	94 : 87	Hermes
2023.11.05	Hermes	85 : 93	Stoja
2023.05.14	Hermes	121 : 78	Stoja
2023.02.19	Hermes	79 : 82	Stoja
2022.11.20	Stoja	79 : 89	Hermes