Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · Prva Liga - Final

DubrovnikHOME · -

86 : 672023.05.14 · 종료

KastelaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.0%

VALUE EDGE+68.0%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEB

DubrovnikAnalysis MetricsKastela

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better +5.42

154.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.92

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dubrovnik

W · 86-66L · 60-51W · 69-61L · 67-51W · 65-73

Kastela

W · 58-61L · 69-61W · 91-68L · 87-82W · 67-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.18	Kastela	74 : 91	Dubrovnik
2023.05.14	Dubrovnik	86 : 67	Kastela
2023.04.30	Dubrovnik	69 : 61	Kastela
2023.04.02	Kastela	71 : 57	Dubrovnik
2023.02.12	Dubrovnik	83 : 65	Kastela
2022.11.14	Kastela	65 : 99	Dubrovnik