Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia

MladostHOME · -

74 : 922023.05.12 · 종료

HermesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +54.0%

VALUE EDGE+54.0%

FAIR ODDS1.85

GRADEA

MladostAnalysis MetricsHermes

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-12.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

151.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

12.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.1 / 15

Prediction separation3.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

54.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mladost

L · 84-74W · 111-99L · 98-72W · 83-80L · 100-107

Hermes

W · 49-95W · 98-91W · 89-92W · 128-92W · 96-104

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.04.06	Hermes	64 : 90	Mladost
2024.12.22	Mladost	89 : 80	Hermes
2024.03.07	Mladost	98 : 84	Hermes
2023.10.22	Hermes	107 : 87	Mladost
2023.05.12	Mladost	74 : 92	Hermes
2023.01.28	Mladost	107 : 75	Hermes
2022.10.30	Hermes	105 : 81	Mladost