Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia

SamoborHOME · -

94 : 732023.05.11 · 종료

Sonik PuntamikaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.7%

VALUE EDGE+68.7%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADEA

SamoborAnalysis MetricsSonik Puntamika

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58

164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.08

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

11.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 12.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Samobor

W · 91-79L · 111-99L · 89-92L · 85-86W · 90-99

Sonik Puntamika

L · 49-95L · 95-75L · 81-108L · 83-80L · 90-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.03.02	Sonik Puntamika	70 : 82	Samobor
2024.11.17	Samobor	81 : 67	Sonik Puntamika
2023.05.11	Samobor	94 : 73	Sonik Puntamika
2023.04.12	Sonik Puntamika	90 : 99	Samobor
2023.02.26	Samobor	72 : 73	Sonik Puntamika
2022.11.27	Sonik Puntamika	74 : 78	Samobor