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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia
OsijekHOME · -
86 : 632023.05.11 · 종료
KvarnerAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
OsijekAnalysis MetricsKvarner
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better +7.42
157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.92
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Osijek
W · 84-93W · 67-51W · 65-69W · 96-99L · 79-92
Kvarner
W · 60-51L · 74-66W · 88-57W · 87-82L · 96-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.01Kvarner90 : 72Osijek
2024.04.28Osijek80 : 66Kvarner
2024.04.25Kvarner77 : 64Osijek
2024.02.25Kvarner72 : 78Osijek
2023.11.19Osijek91 : 83Kvarner
2023.05.11Osijek86 : 63Kvarner
2023.04.16Kvarner96 : 99Osijek
2023.03.15Kvarner76 : 63Osijek
2022.12.12Osijek77 : 68Kvarner