Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia
OmisHOME · -
58 : 612023.05.11 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
OmisAnalysis MetricsKastela
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
158.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Omis
L · 82-80L · 84-93L · 88-57L · 65-73L · 67-60
Kastela
L · 69-61W · 91-68L · 87-82W · 67-60W · 79-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.26 | Kastela | 65 : 66 | Omis |
| 2025.03.02 | Omis | 79 : 93 | Kastela |
| 2024.11.17 | Kastela | 83 : 63 | Omis |
| 2023.12.02 | Kastela | 68 : 64 | Omis |
| 2023.05.11 | Omis | 58 : 61 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.16 | Kastela | 67 : 60 | Omis |
| 2022.12.18 | Kastela | 85 : 83 | Omis |
| 2022.10.02 | Omis | 61 : 75 | Kastela |