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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia
StojaHOME · -
95 : 752023.04.27 · 종료
Sonik PuntamikaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.2%
VALUE EDGE+81.2%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
StojaAnalysis MetricsSonik Puntamika
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-9.58 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
172.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.08
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stoja
W · 98-72W · 79-76W · 80-92L · 84-70W · 89-85
Sonik Puntamika
L · 81-108L · 83-80L · 90-99L · 128-92L · 80-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.27Stoja95 : 75Sonik Puntamika
2023.03.26Sonik Puntamika80 : 92Stoja
2023.03.06Sonik Puntamika79 : 97Stoja
2022.12.04Stoja94 : 92Sonik Puntamika