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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia
HermesHOME · -
98 : 912023.04.27 · 종료
JazineAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.1%
VALUE EDGE+51.1%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
HermesAnalysis MetricsJazine
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42
157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation1.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
W · 89-92W · 128-92W · 96-104W · 95-76W · 91-96
Jazine
W · 81-108W · 85-86W · 100-107L · 96-104W · 91-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.02Hermes78 : 97Jazine
2024.11.18Jazine129 : 80Hermes
2024.03.27Jazine85 : 98Hermes
2023.12.22Hermes92 : 95Jazine
2023.04.27Hermes98 : 91Jazine
2023.03.25Jazine96 : 104Hermes
2023.02.25Jazine83 : 94Hermes
2022.11.27Hermes78 : 90Jazine