Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia
KastelaHOME · -
91 : 682023.04.27 · 종료
KK ZagrebAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.4%
VALUE EDGE+80.4%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEB
KastelaAnalysis MetricsKK Zagreb
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.50
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.50
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
L · 87-82W · 67-60W · 79-92W · 71-57W · 61-73
KK Zagreb
L · 65-69L · 55-104L · 77-64L · 88-67L · 61-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.06 | Kastela | 91 : 89 | KK Zagreb |
| 2025.01.16 | KK Zagreb | 71 : 69 | Kastela |
| 2024.04.06 | KK Zagreb | 81 : 65 | Kastela |
| 2024.01.13 | Kastela | 71 : 66 | KK Zagreb |
| 2023.04.27 | Kastela | 91 : 68 | KK Zagreb |
| 2023.03.26 | KK Zagreb | 61 : 73 | Kastela |
| 2023.03.12 | KK Zagreb | 73 : 77 | Kastela |
| 2022.12.11 | Kastela | 67 : 54 | KK Zagreb |