Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia
KastelaHOME · -
67 : 602023.04.16 · 종료
OmisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.4%
VALUE EDGE+79.4%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsOmis
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.33
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
W · 79-92W · 71-57W · 61-73W · 76-62W · 73-77
Omis
W · 77-64L · 83-53L · 59-75L · 88-69L · 91-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.26 | Kastela | 65 : 66 | Omis |
| 2025.03.02 | Omis | 79 : 93 | Kastela |
| 2024.11.17 | Kastela | 83 : 63 | Omis |
| 2023.12.02 | Kastela | 68 : 64 | Omis |
| 2023.05.11 | Omis | 58 : 61 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.16 | Kastela | 67 : 60 | Omis |
| 2022.12.18 | Kastela | 85 : 83 | Omis |
| 2022.10.02 | Omis | 61 : 75 | Kastela |