Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia
HermesHOME · -
128 : 922023.04.02 · 종료
Sonik PuntamikaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.2%
VALUE EDGE+80.2%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
HermesAnalysis MetricsSonik Puntamika
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
W · 96-104W · 95-76W · 91-96W · 96-91W · 83-94
Sonik Puntamika
L · 80-92L · 91-70L · 83-62L · 79-97W · 72-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | Sonik Puntamika | 84 : 60 | Hermes |
| 2025.04.17 | Hermes | 92 : 111 | Sonik Puntamika |
| 2025.01.20 | Sonik Puntamika | 94 : 80 | Hermes |
| 2023.04.28 | Sonik Puntamika | 49 : 95 | Hermes |
| 2023.04.02 | Hermes | 128 : 92 | Sonik Puntamika |
| 2023.01.22 | Hermes | 102 : 87 | Sonik Puntamika |
| 2022.10.23 | Sonik Puntamika | 66 : 107 | Hermes |