Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia
StojaHOME · -
79 : 762023.04.02 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.5%
VALUE EDGE+71.5%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
StojaAnalysis MetricsSamobor
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-9.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
172.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stoja
W · 80-92L · 84-70W · 89-85W · 79-97L · 74-91
Samobor
L · 75-109L · 95-76L · 91-92L · 99-76L · 72-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.04 | Stoja | 87 : 92 | Samobor |
| 2023.11.27 | Samobor | 88 : 77 | Stoja |
| 2023.04.30 | Samobor | 91 : 79 | Stoja |
| 2023.04.02 | Stoja | 79 : 76 | Samobor |
| 2023.01.08 | Stoja | 79 : 80 | Samobor |
| 2022.10.10 | Samobor | 74 : 72 | Stoja |