Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia
KastelaHOME · -
71 : 572023.04.02 · 종료
DubrovnikAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsDubrovnik
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.25
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
W · 61-73W · 76-62W · 73-77W · 83-69W · 74-91
Dubrovnik
W · 81-70W · 88-69W · 91-92W · 90-77W · 80-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.18 | Kastela | 74 : 91 | Dubrovnik |
| 2023.05.14 | Dubrovnik | 86 : 67 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.30 | Dubrovnik | 69 : 61 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.02 | Kastela | 71 : 57 | Dubrovnik |
| 2023.02.12 | Dubrovnik | 83 : 65 | Kastela |
| 2022.11.14 | Kastela | 65 : 99 | Dubrovnik |