Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia
HermesHOME · -
95 : 762023.03.19 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
HermesAnalysis MetricsSamobor
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
W · 91-96W · 96-91W · 83-94L · 79-82L · 75-70
Samobor
L · 91-92L · 99-76L · 72-73L · 103-65W · 75-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.02 | Hermes | 94 : 100 | Samobor |
| 2024.10.23 | Samobor | 83 : 79 | Hermes |
| 2024.01.25 | Hermes | 85 : 91 | Samobor |
| 2023.10.13 | Samobor | 75 : 84 | Hermes |
| 2023.04.21 | Samobor | 89 : 92 | Hermes |
| 2023.03.19 | Hermes | 95 : 76 | Samobor |
| 2023.02.12 | Samobor | 75 : 70 | Hermes |
| 2022.11.13 | Hermes | 92 : 79 | Samobor |