Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 22
KK ZagrebHOME · -
73 : 772023.03.12 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
KK ZagrebAnalysis MetricsKastela
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+6.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
158.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
KK Zagreb
L · 96-91L · 73-63W · 54-74L · 74-66W · 83-66
Kastela
W · 83-69W · 74-91W · 103-65L · 83-65W · 70-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.06 | Kastela | 91 : 89 | KK Zagreb |
| 2025.01.16 | KK Zagreb | 71 : 69 | Kastela |
| 2024.04.06 | KK Zagreb | 81 : 65 | Kastela |
| 2024.01.13 | Kastela | 71 : 66 | KK Zagreb |
| 2023.04.27 | Kastela | 91 : 68 | KK Zagreb |
| 2023.03.26 | KK Zagreb | 61 : 73 | Kastela |
| 2023.03.12 | KK Zagreb | 73 : 77 | Kastela |
| 2022.12.11 | Kastela | 67 : 54 | KK Zagreb |