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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 22
StojaHOME · -
89 : 852023.03.12 · 종료
MladostAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.2%
VALUE EDGE+57.2%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
StojaAnalysis MetricsMladost
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-9.58 Point MarginHigher is better -12.42
172.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.92
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stoja
W · 79-97L · 74-91W · 79-82L · 76-94L · 84-69
Mladost
W · 99-76L · 80-63L · 88-95W · 102-78L · 70-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.19Mladost92 : 85Stoja
2023.11.12Stoja68 : 94Mladost
2023.04.23Stoja98 : 72Mladost
2023.03.18Mladost84 : 70Stoja
2023.03.12Stoja89 : 85Mladost
2022.12.12Mladost82 : 95Stoja