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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 22
SamoborHOME · -
91 : 922023.03.12 · 종료
DubrovnikAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME13.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY86.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +86.5%
VALUE EDGE+86.5%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
SamoborAnalysis MetricsDubrovnik
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -1.25
164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.92
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
13.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
86.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Samobor
L · 99-76L · 72-73L · 103-65W · 75-70L · 93-48
Dubrovnik
W · 90-77W · 80-63W · 84-96W · 83-65W · 76-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.12Samobor91 : 92Dubrovnik
2022.12.12Dubrovnik103 : 72Samobor