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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 21
MladostHOME · -
99 : 762023.03.09 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.6%
VALUE EDGE+74.6%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
MladostAnalysis MetricsSamobor
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-12.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33
151.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
11.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mladost
L · 80-63L · 88-95W · 102-78L · 70-57W · 107-75
Samobor
L · 72-73L · 103-65W · 75-70L · 93-48L · 69-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.05.11Mladost74 : 86Samobor
2025.05.08Samobor96 : 86Mladost
2025.02.17Mladost94 : 88Samobor
2024.11.02Samobor99 : 91Mladost
2024.02.07Samobor113 : 92Mladost
2023.10.27Mladost82 : 89Samobor
2023.04.26Mladost111 : 99Samobor
2023.03.26Samobor75 : 109Mladost
2023.03.09Mladost99 : 76Samobor
2022.12.04Samobor73 : 79Mladost