Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 21
HermesHOME · -
96 : 912023.03.04 · 종료
KK ZagrebAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
HermesAnalysis MetricsKK Zagreb
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.50
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
W · 83-94L · 79-82L · 75-70L · 76-86L · 107-75
KK Zagreb
L · 73-63W · 54-74L · 74-66W · 83-66L · 79-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.30 | KK Zagreb | 88 : 85 | Hermes |
| 2024.12.16 | Hermes | 75 : 79 | KK Zagreb |
| 2024.03.25 | KK Zagreb | 82 : 69 | Hermes |
| 2023.12.19 | Hermes | 101 : 81 | KK Zagreb |
| 2023.03.04 | Hermes | 96 : 91 | KK Zagreb |
| 2022.12.04 | KK Zagreb | 84 : 65 | Hermes |