Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 19
KastelaHOME · -
103 : 652023.02.19 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.3%
VALUE EDGE+82.3%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsSamobor
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
L · 83-65W · 70-57W · 90-92W · 80-75W · 83-77
Samobor
W · 75-70L · 93-48L · 69-76L · 76-59L · 63-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.17 | Samobor | 95 : 83 | Kastela |
| 2024.12.01 | Kastela | 102 : 72 | Samobor |
| 2024.02.17 | Kastela | 71 : 72 | Samobor |
| 2023.11.12 | Samobor | 52 : 89 | Kastela |
| 2023.02.19 | Kastela | 103 : 65 | Samobor |
| 2022.11.20 | Samobor | 66 : 86 | Kastela |