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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 18
KvarnerHOME · -
74 : 662023.02.13 · 종료
KK ZagrebAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.2%
VALUE EDGE+65.2%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
KvarnerAnalysis MetricsKK Zagreb
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better +6.50
165.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.50
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kvarner
W · 70-93W · 81-65L · 80-75W · 105-74W · 56-80
KK Zagreb
W · 83-66L · 79-77W · 76-59W · 86-63L · 76-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.04KK Zagreb69 : 85Kvarner
2023.10.29Kvarner83 : 77KK Zagreb
2023.04.30KK Zagreb74 : 66Kvarner
2023.04.03Kvarner88 : 67KK Zagreb
2023.02.13Kvarner74 : 66KK Zagreb
2022.11.14KK Zagreb74 : 64Kvarner