Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 18

DubrovnikHOME · -

83 : 652023.02.12 · 종료

KastelaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.9%

VALUE EDGE+74.9%

FAIR ODDS1.33

GRADEB

DubrovnikAnalysis MetricsKastela

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-1.25 Point MarginHigher is better +5.42

156.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.92

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dubrovnik

W · 76-86W · 75-62W · 68-85W · 76-62W · 73-101

Kastela

W · 70-57W · 90-92W · 80-75W · 83-77L · 87-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.18	Kastela	74 : 91	Dubrovnik
2023.05.14	Dubrovnik	86 : 67	Kastela
2023.04.30	Dubrovnik	69 : 61	Kastela
2023.04.02	Kastela	71 : 57	Dubrovnik
2023.02.12	Dubrovnik	83 : 65	Kastela
2022.11.14	Kastela	65 : 99	Dubrovnik