Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 17
HermesHOME · -
76 : 862023.02.05 · 종료
DubrovnikAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.4%
VALUE EDGE+79.4%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
HermesAnalysis MetricsDubrovnik
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.25
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
L · 107-75W · 102-87L · 83-77L · 56-80L · 77-101
Dubrovnik
W · 75-62W · 68-85W · 76-62W · 73-101W · 81-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.05 | Hermes | 76 : 86 | Dubrovnik |
| 2022.11.07 | Dubrovnik | 100 : 77 | Hermes |