Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 17
KastelaHOME · -
70 : 572023.02.05 · 종료
MladostAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADES
KastelaAnalysis MetricsMladost
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.42
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
W · 90-92W · 80-75W · 83-77L · 87-76W · 85-83
Mladost
W · 107-75L · 85-81L · 86-63L · 66-73W · 76-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.30 | Mladost | 71 : 67 | Kastela |
| 2025.04.28 | Kastela | 89 : 62 | Mladost |
| 2025.04.25 | Mladost | 72 : 64 | Kastela |
| 2025.04.17 | Kastela | 87 : 66 | Mladost |
| 2025.01.20 | Mladost | 94 : 93 | Kastela |
| 2024.02.11 | Kastela | 84 : 66 | Mladost |
| 2023.11.05 | Mladost | 76 : 98 | Kastela |
| 2023.02.05 | Kastela | 70 : 57 | Mladost |
| 2022.11.07 | Mladost | 75 : 83 | Kastela |