Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 16
Sonik PuntamikaHOME · -
90 : 922023.01.29 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+87.1%
VALUE EDGE+87.1%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEB
Sonik PuntamikaAnalysis MetricsKastela
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
162.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sonik Puntamika
L · 102-87L · 68-101L · 102-63L · 76-86L · 75-106
Kastela
W · 80-75W · 83-77L · 87-76W · 85-83W · 67-54
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Sonik Puntamika | 70 : 82 | Kastela |
| 2025.02.17 | Sonik Puntamika | 74 : 64 | Kastela |
| 2024.11.03 | Kastela | 75 : 65 | Sonik Puntamika |
| 2023.01.29 | Sonik Puntamika | 90 : 92 | Kastela |
| 2022.10.30 | Kastela | 102 : 65 | Sonik Puntamika |