Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 16

MladostHOME · -

107 : 752023.01.28 · 종료

HermesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.6%

VALUE EDGE+59.6%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

MladostAnalysis MetricsHermes

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-12.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

151.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.2 / 15

Prediction separation8.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mladost

L · 85-81L · 86-63L · 66-73W · 76-86L · 98-94

Hermes

W · 102-87L · 83-77L · 56-80L · 77-101L · 84-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.04.06	Hermes	64 : 90	Mladost
2024.12.22	Mladost	89 : 80	Hermes
2024.03.07	Mladost	98 : 84	Hermes
2023.10.22	Hermes	107 : 87	Mladost
2023.05.12	Mladost	74 : 92	Hermes
2023.01.28	Mladost	107 : 75	Hermes
2022.10.30	Hermes	105 : 81	Mladost