Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 15
KK ZagrebHOME · -
76 : 592023.01.23 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.4%
VALUE EDGE+77.4%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADES
KK ZagrebAnalysis MetricsSamobor
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+6.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
158.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
KK Zagreb
W · 86-63L · 76-62W · 75-106L · 67-54W · 84-65
Samobor
L · 63-87W · 79-80L · 76-68L · 103-72L · 73-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.09 | Samobor | 95 : 64 | KK Zagreb |
| 2024.10.27 | KK Zagreb | 87 : 92 | Samobor |
| 2024.02.26 | Samobor | 69 : 74 | KK Zagreb |
| 2023.11.20 | KK Zagreb | 82 : 66 | Samobor |
| 2023.01.23 | KK Zagreb | 76 : 59 | Samobor |
| 2022.10.23 | Samobor | 82 : 100 | KK Zagreb |