Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 15
KastelaHOME · -
80 : 752023.01.22 · 종료
KvarnerAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.0%
VALUE EDGE+60.0%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsKvarner
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
W · 83-77L · 87-76W · 85-83W · 67-54L · 85-82
Kvarner
W · 105-74W · 56-80W · 76-68L · 77-68L · 54-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.16 | Kastela | 70 : 84 | Kvarner |
| 2023.12.10 | Kvarner | 73 : 59 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.23 | Kvarner | 87 : 82 | Kastela |
| 2023.03.19 | Kastela | 76 : 62 | Kvarner |
| 2023.01.22 | Kastela | 80 : 75 | Kvarner |