Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 14
KvarnerHOME · -
105 : 742023.01.15 · 종료
StojaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.9%
VALUE EDGE+75.9%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
KvarnerAnalysis MetricsStoja
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.58
165.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.75
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kvarner
W · 56-80W · 76-68L · 77-68L · 54-68L · 61-57
Stoja
L · 79-80L · 81-59W · 82-95W · 94-92L · 92-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.24 | Kvarner | 107 : 74 | Stoja |
| 2023.12.17 | Stoja | 77 : 91 | Kvarner |
| 2023.01.15 | Kvarner | 105 : 74 | Stoja |
| 2022.10.16 | Stoja | 81 : 91 | Kvarner |