Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 13

OsijekHOME · -

87 : 762023.01.12 · 종료

KastelaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.7%

VALUE EDGE+60.7%

FAIR ODDS1.65

GRADEA

OsijekAnalysis MetricsKastela

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better +5.42

157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.92

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.5 / 15

Prediction separation9.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Osijek

L · 90-92L · 97-79W · 77-101W · 77-68W · 63-83

Kastela

W · 85-83W · 67-54L · 85-82W · 92-77W · 66-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.29	Osijek	65 : 60	Kastela
2023.10.21	Kastela	74 : 79	Osijek
2023.04.13	Osijek	79 : 92	Kastela
2023.01.12	Osijek	87 : 76	Kastela
2022.10.09	Kastela	80 : 83	Osijek