Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 13

StojaHOME · -

79 : 802023.01.08 · 종료

SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.6%

VALUE EDGE+61.6%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADEA

StojaAnalysis MetricsSamobor

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-9.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33

172.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.3 / 15

Prediction separation9.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Stoja

L · 81-59W · 82-95W · 94-92L · 92-77L · 79-89

Samobor

L · 76-68L · 103-72L · 73-79W · 74-78L · 66-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.04	Stoja	87 : 92	Samobor
2023.11.27	Samobor	88 : 77	Stoja
2023.04.30	Samobor	91 : 79	Stoja
2023.04.02	Stoja	79 : 76	Samobor
2023.01.08	Stoja	79 : 80	Samobor
2022.10.10	Samobor	74 : 72	Stoja