Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 13
HermesHOME · -
56 : 802023.01.08 · 종료
KvarnerAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.7%
VALUE EDGE+52.7%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
HermesAnalysis MetricsKvarner
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
L · 77-101L · 84-65L · 78-90W · 79-89W · 92-79
Kvarner
W · 76-68L · 77-68L · 54-68L · 61-57W · 86-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.03 | Hermes | 69 : 102 | Kvarner |
| 2023.11.26 | Kvarner | 103 : 89 | Hermes |
| 2023.01.08 | Hermes | 56 : 80 | Kvarner |
| 2022.10.10 | Kvarner | 82 : 59 | Hermes |