Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 12
HermesHOME · -
77 : 1012022.12.18 · 종료
OsijekAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
HermesAnalysis MetricsOsijek
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
L · 84-65L · 78-90W · 79-89W · 92-79L · 100-77
Osijek
W · 77-68W · 63-83L · 79-65L · 63-73L · 83-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.10.11 | Osijek | 100 : 69 | Hermes |
| 2022.12.18 | Hermes | 77 : 101 | Osijek |
| 2022.10.02 | Osijek | 104 : 58 | Hermes |