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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 12
KastelaHOME · -
85 : 832022.12.18 · 종료
OmisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADES
KastelaAnalysis MetricsOmis
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.67
147.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.33
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
W · 67-54L · 85-82W · 92-77W · 66-86L · 65-99
Omis
L · 63-83W · 61-57L · 77-73W · 86-65W · 89-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.26Kastela65 : 66Omis
2025.03.02Omis79 : 93Kastela
2024.11.17Kastela83 : 63Omis
2023.12.02Kastela68 : 64Omis
2023.05.11Omis58 : 61Kastela
2023.04.16Kastela67 : 60Omis
2022.12.18Kastela85 : 83Omis
2022.10.02Omis61 : 75Kastela