Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 12

KvarnerHOME · -

76 : 682022.12.18 · 종료

SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY20.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +79.2%

VALUE EDGE+79.2%

FAIR ODDS1.26

GRADEA

KvarnerAnalysis MetricsSamobor

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33

165.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

79.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

20.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kvarner

L · 77-68L · 54-68L · 61-57W · 86-76L · 74-64

Samobor

L · 103-72L · 73-79W · 74-78L · 66-86L · 92-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.22	Samobor	82 : 86	Kvarner
2023.10.08	Kvarner	91 : 70	Samobor
2022.12.18	Kvarner	76 : 68	Samobor
2022.10.02	Samobor	61 : 65	Kvarner