Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 10

KK ZagrebHOME · -

84 : 652022.12.04 · 종료

HermesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.4%

VALUE EDGE+69.4%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADES

KK ZagrebAnalysis MetricsHermes

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+6.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

158.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

KK Zagreb

W · 79-65W · 77-73W · 74-64W · 82-95W · 92-85

Hermes

L · 78-90W · 79-89W · 92-79L · 100-77W · 105-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.03.30	KK Zagreb	88 : 85	Hermes
2024.12.16	Hermes	75 : 79	KK Zagreb
2024.03.25	KK Zagreb	82 : 69	Hermes
2023.12.19	Hermes	101 : 81	KK Zagreb
2023.03.04	Hermes	96 : 91	KK Zagreb
2022.12.04	KK Zagreb	84 : 65	Hermes