Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 10
SamoborHOME · -
73 : 792022.12.04 · 종료
MladostAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.8%
VALUE EDGE+60.8%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
SamoborAnalysis MetricsMladost
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.42
164.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.92
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Samobor
W · 74-78L · 66-86L · 92-79L · 74-85L · 68-61
Mladost
L · 71-101L · 86-76L · 75-83L · 105-81W · 83-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.11 | Mladost | 74 : 86 | Samobor |
| 2025.05.08 | Samobor | 96 : 86 | Mladost |
| 2025.02.17 | Mladost | 94 : 88 | Samobor |
| 2024.11.02 | Samobor | 99 : 91 | Mladost |
| 2024.02.07 | Samobor | 113 : 92 | Mladost |
| 2023.10.27 | Mladost | 82 : 89 | Samobor |
| 2023.04.26 | Mladost | 111 : 99 | Samobor |
| 2023.03.26 | Samobor | 75 : 109 | Mladost |
| 2023.03.09 | Mladost | 99 : 76 | Samobor |
| 2022.12.04 | Samobor | 73 : 79 | Mladost |