Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 7

KastelaHOME · -

65 : 992022.11.14 · 종료

DubrovnikAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.6%

VALUE EDGE+57.6%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADEA

KastelaAnalysis MetricsDubrovnik

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.25

147.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.92

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation6.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kastela

W · 75-83W · 102-65W · 60-89L · 80-83W · 61-75

Dubrovnik

W · 100-77W · 71-76W · 93-74W · 64-84W · 78-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.18	Kastela	74 : 91	Dubrovnik
2023.05.14	Dubrovnik	86 : 67	Kastela
2023.04.30	Dubrovnik	69 : 61	Kastela
2023.04.02	Kastela	71 : 57	Dubrovnik
2023.02.12	Dubrovnik	83 : 65	Kastela
2022.11.14	Kastela	65 : 99	Dubrovnik