Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 6
DubrovnikHOME · -
100 : 772022.11.07 · 종료
HermesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.7%
VALUE EDGE+80.7%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
DubrovnikAnalysis MetricsHermes
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
156.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dubrovnik
W · 71-76W · 93-74W · 64-84W · 78-59L · 87-73
Hermes
W · 105-81W · 66-107L · 60-89L · 82-59L · 104-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.05 | Hermes | 76 : 86 | Dubrovnik |
| 2022.11.07 | Dubrovnik | 100 : 77 | Hermes |